The Effect of Natural Disaster on Regional Economic Growth, Unemployment, Poverty, and Human Development Index in Thirty Indonesian Provinces


  • Aulia Puja Ilham Universitas Brawijaya



natural disaster, regional economic growth, poverty, unemployment, Human Development Index



The objective of this research is to identify the effects of natural disasters on several variables. The impacts were analyzed both directly and indirectly.


Using Partial Least Squares, natural disaster, regional economic growth, poverty, unemployment, and human development index as the variables with their own indicators.


This study finds that the direct effects of natural disasters are a significant reduction in regional economic growth, an insignificant increase in poverty, and a significant increase in unemployment. Furthermore, natural disaster have varying results in indirect effects.

Research limitations/implications                                                                                                                                                                                  

The limitation of this research is the use of natural disasters which only involves three types of natural disasters, as well as thirty provinces in Indonesia.


This study uses regional economic growth, unemployment, and poverty variables as intervening variables to determine the effect of natural disasters on the human development index which there are still not many similar studies on the disaster economics approach.


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